Taliban Rule-Impact on India
“There are a lot of children in Afghanistan, but little childhood,” a famous quote by Khaled Hosseini, an Afghan-born American novelist, demonstrates the grave situation of the state. When translated in English from Pashto (one of the official Afghan languages), Taliban means ‘Students,’ irony much?
United States President Joe Biden said, ‘We did what we had to,’ which received a significant backlash from the public. It was pretty evident that the Taliban would try to take over the country after the U.S. troops made it clear last year they’d be vacating their lands, but no one had expected that the Taliban would take over within a week. People of Afghanistan were scared and just wanted to leave the country as much as so few of them even tied themselves to the planes leaving the country and fell off the plane and later on died. Taliban isn’t a threat for just the people of Afghanistan but everyone, and India as well.
Taliban assured that they would maintain Law and Order, but public executions and shootings have been a common sight. Not to forget the killing of the Indian Photojournalist Danish Siddiqui in a clash with the Taliban. Now one would think, why India needs to worry? India has always been a friend to Afghanistan. However, it had friendly relations with the Ashraf Ghani government, and he, later on, flew the capital leaving even the prominent government officials behind. India has invested almost $3 billion for reconstruction (becoming one of the major donors for the country) since the Civil war 2001.
However, India has different reasons to worry; firstly, the significant support the Taliban has been receiving from Pakistan since the day they captured the capital is not exactly what we call a good situation. China and Pakistan both see this as an opportunity to have power over India, and both nations will not step back from doing so and gain more control in South-East Asia. And, with the already established Chabahar Port in Iran (made out of a $400 Billion China-Iran deal), it is a significant threat to India in the Arabian Sea, and the China-backed Hambanthota Harbour in Sri Lanka is already a danger India can sense. We can expect China-Pakistan to build Economic corridors and road networks in Afghanistan, becoming a significant threat to India in the Kashmir region. Secondly, the trade between India and Afghanistan will be disrupted. It cannot be said anything about the future trade agreements; nuts and dry fruits like Gurbandi almonds, pistachio nuts, walnuts, and more will become very expensive in India, and some might not be available after some time as a direct result of disturbed trade relations. Another not-so-talked and discussed reason to worry could be the Propaganda Taliban is promoting by Bombing major cities and airports, not allowing girls to go to college and schools, and public beheadings of the general public, where the UN seems to be behaving opposite of its nature, silent.
India needs to worry and understand the intricacies of the situation and come up with a plan because if it won’t, there are many waiting to grab the next best opportunity for the upper hand in this Game of Thrones. A lot is going on in Afghanistan, and the world has turned an eye. It’s only a matter of time when all these major superpowers will realize what a grave danger it is, and by then, it would have been too late.